I hope they manage to keep it going and quality up; Egypt is in a heap of financial trouble as a whole, with real concerns about their ability to feed themselves. Apparently Egypt imports more than 50% of the food it needs, and cash reserves, foreign investment etc are drying up fast, with huge capital flight.
How his effects a fairly localized area like the the Sinai dive area remains to be seen, but if they don't maintain the standards, then visions of Zimbabwe are not that far fetched.
Jeff, I know you know the history of Rhodesia/Zim and I'm sorta surprised you equate the Egyptian issue as a precursor to what Mugabe did in Zim.
First of all, since the issue of work permits has come up in the last few years in Egypt, it's not like the expat dive staff didn't have warning of an impending end to their work stint. Like old photographers who bemoan the DSLR age, where Tom Dick and Mary have forced the stock photo market prices down, I think this "resistance" to change is something akin to that.
Secondly, the jobs should be based on qualifications, and not nationality (or for some, race). On my trips out to Egypt, I found both good and bad foreign and local staff, but overall the Egyptian staff were more than capable of doing the job.
As the world economy grows, the operators will need more Eastern European/Russian speaking staff, and I'm sure they will find the work permits for staff if there aren't any Egyptian equivalents. My limited experience with Egyptian staff has been generally excellent, and many speak several languages other than English.
The point is that the political (in)stability is causing the slowdown in tourism, NOT the fact that the staff is Egyptian or not. The Europeans will still want their cheap dive holidays and the alternatives of Israel and other neighboring countries are just not the same. I think with the slower tourism right now, the Egyptians have a great window to train up their instructors/DM and other staff for when the boom times return.
I'm pretty sure once the Egyptians take over, they will savor the competition and do well. To say the foreigners are the pillars of the dive industry is probably a belief supported by those who work there, and it may have been true 20 years ago, I think it's evident that the Egyptians don't agree with that "fact" anymore. I doubt Egypt will let that industry fail.
Drew I so hope you are correct, and I did say "absolute worst case".
Overall there is no problem with locals being responsible for their own and ultimately their countries destiny - it is probably what we all strive for on some level or other.
While galvanizing their population to take responsibility is laudable it depends on quite how it was done. If it was via a system of regulation that disenfranchised current businesses then it is altogether more ugly.
Such a transition needs to be planned and any changeover should not be 'forced' overnight.
Paul C
Paul
If my memory serves me, the CDWS brought up the visa issue way back in 2009, so it's not like they woke up one morning and decided they didn't want the firanji around anymore (although it may seem like that). With the unemployment at over 10%, I think any strategic planner would kick out foreigners once the local population can take up the jobs competently. The time has just come for the Egyptians to show that they can or fall flat on their face.