Just finalized a little experiment to confirm to you lot of experts what really happens in a housing so that you can read it through in your own time.
I set my housing at 21.3C 61% humidity and 997 pascal pressure the dew point for this is 13.16C
I put inside a container with water at 12C. According to your theory of relative humidity this should have increased as the air inside the housing was dropping in temperature.
But it did not. The housing did not fog after a good half hour and when I opened it there were no signs of any condensation. The camera that had been off reported a temperature of 15C in the battery compartment.
Afterwards I did the same but set the camera to record video for 30 minutes, at the end of the 30 minutes the camera internal temperature was 26C and the camera port started fogging so the housing is not getting drier (probably because the moisture content has not changed!) and it is indeed starting to fog inside.
Another thing to consider is the different behavior of aluminum housing to plastic housing and in general of metal versus glass or plastic. Metal conducts heat so in whatever conditions you are there is a much better chance that the systems is leaning towards some equilibrium. Plastic does not so when it gets really hot inside the heat has nowhere to go hence plastic housings fog most.
What matters to fogging is the temperature gradient between the inside of the housing, mostly driven by the camera, and the water not the absolute diving conditions (housing could fog in cold and warm water). This relates to the phenomena happening at the various interfaces between the mediums that are not strictly insulated and the moisture inside the housing which is what condenses as the particles kinetic energy makes them move more hit the walls and change status and condense when faced with a colder material (surface condensation).
So what is important is a moisture free environment and as little temperature gradient as possible. No matter what when the inside of the housing is really hot either because left in the sun or because the camera is really hot condensation can occur so desiccant is required.
The thermodynamic process is explained here
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isochoric_process
And the explanation of the thermal energy here
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermal_energy
Condensation here
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Condensation
Dew point is just an explanation of a process and not the cause of it. In order to understand what really happens you need to look at thermodynamics.
Prepping the camera in an warmer or cooler room has little impact as the housing will be immersed in a heat sink with infinite thermal capacity what matters is the moisture so a dehumidifier more than an air conditioning unit is what is required.
Vacuum does reduce the number of particles inside the housing and helps to some extent but as the pressure difference is rather low it has a very mild effect and should not replace desiccant packets.
It is always good to learn things better!